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You have 1000 creatures, each with a value \( x \in [0, 1] \). The population starts uniformly distributed across this range.

Each generation runs three phases in order:

1000 creatures x ∈ [0, 1] Purge p(death) = 1 − x Starvation p(death) = x Reproduce back to 1000 repeat

Reproduction is asexual — offspring inherit their parent’s value \( x \). Generations repeat until one creature remains.


1. What creature \( x \) do you expect to win?

2. How many generations do you expect it to take?